Monday, August 31, 2009

College Football Preview: Big 12

The Big 12 of 2009 will look similar to the Big 12 of 2008. They have a bevy of good quarterbacks, they have three teams that will look to go undefeated…until they wind up playing each other, that is, they are once again dominated by the South, and they’ll have a controversy at the end of the year. Business as usual. Instead of Texas Tech causing problems for bad boys Oklahoma and Texas, it’ll be Oklahoma State. Texas will beat Oklahoma in Dallas, lose to Oklahoma State on the road, and then watch Oklahoma beat Oklahoma State in the finale to cause a three-way tie at the top of the South. Sound familiar? Thought so. Strap in, people, the Big 12 is gonna get rowdy for three months once again.

Predicted Order of Finish:
North Division:
1.) Kansas – After winning the Orange Bowl in 2007, the Jayhawks took a minor step back last year, going 8-5 and winning the Insight Bowl. However, the fall wasn’t as bad as it looks on the surface, because 3 of their losses were to Oklahoma, Texas, and Texas Tech. Not bad. Regardless, Kansas had a lot more fun winning the North in 2007 and will look to do so again this year behind the arm of QB Todd Reesing. Reesing, despite his diminutive stature, is a stud. 3,888 yards and 32 TDs passing last year hardly tell the story. His decision-making and pocket presence are second-to-none in the conference, and he’s the locomotive that makes the prolific Jayhawk offense (8th in passing nationally last season) go. Reesing will be throwing to a gifted corps of receivers led by Dezmon Briscoe, a junior who caught 15 TDs last season. Flanking Briscoe will be WR/TE/backup QB Kerry Meier, a physical receiver who’s very dependable in clutch situations, and WR Jonathan Wilson. RB Jake Sharp, who is second to Stanford’s Toby Gerhart in the race for ‘best white running back in America’, returns after rushing for 860 yards last season. The offensive lines needs to replace 3 starters off last year’s team, so their growth will be crucial in deciding just how good the Kansas offense can be. On defense, the Jayhawks were not good last year, ranking 89th nationally in total defense. Generating a pass rush has been an issue, but Kansas is hoping juco transfer Quintin Woods will help form a productive DE duo with returning sack leader Jake Laptad. The linebackers are a new group with very little experience. There is some talent on hand, namely LB Justin Springer, but the group must be a pleasant surprise for the Jayhawks to improve defensively. The secondary is experienced, they’re just not very good. Ranking 114th in pass defense in 2008, the unit needs a serious upgrade to become even respectable. SS Darrell Stuckey, an All-Big 12 selection last year, is the leader of a group that also includes athletic CB Justin Thornton. Kansas’ schedule sets up very nicely. The first 5 games should all be wins, and Nebraska comes to Lawrence. Road games at Texas Tech and Texas will probably be losses, but the home game against Oklahoma could be a statement game one week after the Red River Rivalry.

2.) Missouri – Chase Daniel? Gone. Chase Coffman? Gone. Jeremy Maclin? Gone. Offensive coordinator Dave Christensen? Gone. That’s the story in Columbia this year, where the Tigers are going through a semi-rebuilding mode. The good news is that coach Gary Pinkel has recruited well enough the past couple years that talented players are waiting in the wings. The biggest coup of the Pinkel recruits may have been QB Blaine Gabbert, a 6’5”, 240-lb. horse with a rocket arm. What Chase Daniel lacked in physical ability, Gabbert has. If he’s able to provide even a fraction of the mental acuity that Daniel possessed, look for the Missouri offense to take off. RB Derrick Washington was often overlooked because of the insane passing attack of the past couple years, but should get a heavy load this year. He may not eclipse the 19 TDs he amassed last year, but his rushing total should go up from 2008’s 1,036 yards. Despite the loss of Maclin and Coffman, good targets remain. WRs Danario Alexander and Jared Perry both have 1,000 yards in their careers and should provide Gabbert with plenty of production. Three offensive linemen return, which will help keep Gabbert upright and Washington running forward. Defensively, the Tigers only return 4 starters, but the 2008 unit was garbage, so that may be a good thing. LB Sean Weatherspoon is terrific, probably one of the top 5 linebackers in the country. Alongside him is LB Luke Lambert, a steady playmaker. The defensive line is a work-in-progress, but could surprise. DEs Aldon Smith and Brian Coulter have had limited time in Columbia but look primed to make up for it this fall. The secondary is full of Big 12 name of the year nominees, like FS Kenji Jackson, CB Munir Prince, and SS Zaviar Gooden, but not a lot of productivity. This unit can’t get much worse (117th in pass defense in 2008), but must get much better if the Tigers are to challenge in the North. The schedule for Missouri is so-so. Road games at Colorado and Kansas State shouldn’t be too bad, but the road date at Oklahoma State is no fun. Baylor, Nebraska, and Iowa State travel to Columbia, but so does Texas.

3.) Nebraska – Call me Danny Downer, but I don’t really see what the fuss is over the Huskers. Nebraska is getting a lot of love from a lot of reputable people, and I’m not sure why. Yes, they won 9 games last year, but here are the teams they beat: Western Michigan, San Jose State, New Mexico State, Iowa State, Baylor, Kansas, Kansas State, Colorado, and Clemson. They beat no one good. No shame in losing to Virginia Tech, Missouri, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma; but beating one of them would have been nice. Any way you slice it, Nebraska is good enough to beat the bad teams and bad enough to lose to the good teams; expect more of the same in 2009. QB Zac Lee has thrown only two passes in his career, completing one for 5 yards. He’ll start the season behind an experienced offensive line that will allow him time to make decisions. His wide receivers are all new and his running back situation is murky at best, so he won’t get a lot of help at the skill positions. RB Roy Helu, Jr. will be solid as the lead ball carrier, but won’t break many runs. Defensively, the Huskers hope to make up for their offense’s weak punch. Big 12 name of the year nominee Ndamukong Suh is about as good as it gets in America at nose tackle. He will stuff the run by himself all year, allowing DE Pierre Allen to make plays. The linebackers are all new, but there is some talent in place. Look for LBs Blake Lawrence and Sean Fisher to surprise. The secondary is experienced, and S Larry Asante should finally make the leap from all-conference honorable mention to full-fledged member. Nebraska’s schedule is the opposite of fun. It wouldn’t be Nebraska if they didn’t have a bunch of cupcakes to start off with, but then road games at Missouri, Baylor, Kansas, and Colorado will let everyone know if the Cornhuskers are worth the preseason hype. Methinks no.

4.) Colorado – This is a make-or-break year for coach Dan Hawkins. An Independence Bowl appearance in 2007 was followed up by a 5-7 campaign last year. Pulling the trigger for his offense will be his son, Cody, now an experienced junior. Hawkins has shown the ability to make some big plays, but constantly struggles to put together sustained drives. Benefitting Hawkins will be a one-two running attack of Rodney (Rod) Stewart and Darrell Scott, both sophomores. Scott was a big-time recruit last year but struggled with injuries, while Stewart amassed 622 rushing yards in limited time. Both should improve this year and give the Buffaloes a terrific ground game. The wide receiving corps is thin, but starters Scotty McKnight and Markques Simas should be reliable. On defense, only 3 starters return from a unit that was mediocre in 2008. The line is a mish-mash of freshman and former backups, so it will be interesting to see if the talented newcomes, like DE Nick Kasa, can overtake the more experienced players on the depth chart. Depth at the linebacker position is a huge plus for Colorado. LBs Jeff Smart, Shaun Mohler, and Marcus Burton should all generate plenty of tackles. The secondary is inexperienced, but the CB tandem of Jimmy Smith and Ben Burney should be very good. The defense as a whole has room to improve, but should surprise people. The schedule sets up very well for Colorado. Yes, they must go to Texas, but they weren’t going to beat the Longhorns anyway. Kansas, Missouri, and Nebraska must all come to Boulder; and road games at Kansas State and Iowa State are very winnable. The Buffs are a sleeper team in the Big 12.

5.) Iowa State – Kind of a weird situation in Ames. Former head coach Gene Chizik, who wasn’t good, left to become coach at Auburn. Responding in kind, Iowa State hired away Auburn’s defensive coordinator, Paul Rhoads, to be their head coach. Rhoads’ first smart move (of, hopefully, many for Cyclones fans) was hiring former Rice offensive coordinator Tom Herman, who masterminded one of the most prolific offensive attacks in recent years. If his offense transfers quickly, the Cyclones are going to irritate Big 12 opponents all season long. At the helm is QB Austen Arnaud, a junior who has shown some big play ability over the past couple years. If he gets in synch with WRs Sedrick Johnson and Darius Darks early, points could be a non-issue for Iowa State. Complementing the attack will be RB Alexander Robinson, who rushed for 703 yards in limited time last season. The offense has talent, but must jell quickly under Herman. Defensively, Rhoads needs to perform a minor miracle. The Cyclones were bad in pretty much every meaningful category in 2008. Returning to the defensive line are Nate Frere at DT and Rashawn Parker at DE. Neither is a standout, but must be steady if the line is to improve. At linebacker, Fred Garrin and Jesse Smith are a nice tandem that could produce a lot of tackles. In the secondary, CB Leonard Johnson should have a breakout year, but that’s about the extent of the corners. At safety, James Smith and David Sims have some ability, but need to be consistent to make up for the shortcomings of the other players in the unit. Iowa State’s schedule features home games against Baylor, Kansas State (in K.C.), and Colorado. Two of those games must be wins if the Cyclones are to go bowling come December.

6.) Kansas State – Bill Snyder is back. After raising the program from the ashes in the 1990s, Snyder got bored with retirement and came back to fix a program that is in turmoil. Yes, the Wildcats won 5 games last year, but the off-the-field issues, the odd mix of jucos and recruits, and getting thrashed by any team with a pulse are things that cannot be solved overnight. Snyder is 69 years old, so it’ll be interesting to see how long he attempts to rebuild the once-proud program. With Josh Freeman off to the NFL, QB Carson Coffman will attempt to keep the Wildcats productive on offense. Coffman has very little experience, so there could be some growing pains for the new triggerman. At running back, senior Keith Valentine will start the season as the starter, but could be replaced by any number of candidates, since no one has distinguished himself as the go-to back. WRs Brandon Banks and Lamark Brown are two explosive wideouts that cause problems for opposing defense. Banks, 5’7” and 150 lbs., can take it to the house in the blink of an eye and possesses terrific hands. On defense, the Wildcats were terrible in 2008, but return 7 starters, so the hope is that they’ll improve with experience. DE Brandon Harold is the leading returning sack man and will be helped on the other side by returning starter Eric Childs. Big 12 name of the year nominee Ulla Pomele mans one side of the linebacking corps while Alex Hrebec should be steady at the other. In the secondary, Kansas State has experience but not much production. CBs Josh Moore and Blair Irvin shows flashes, but must be more consistent. Safeties Tysyn Hartman and Chris Carney are returning starters as well. Kansas State plays a neutral-site game against Iowa State and hosts Texas A&M. Look for those two games to be the only opportunities for the Wildcats to nab a conference win.


South Division:
1.) Oklahoma – When you return the Heisman Trophy winner from last season and a defense that is predicted to be tops in the conference, you're in pretty good shape. Welcome to the life of the Oklahoma Sooners, where QB Sam Bradford returns after throwing for 4,720 yards last season, and the defense returns 8 starters from a much-maligned unit last year. Bradford will need to be sharp from jump street, though, because only 1 starter returns to the offensive line and he has to break in some new receivers. This is Oklahoma, so the talent is there, it just may take a game or two to get going. The non-Bradford strength of the offense is the running game, led by RBs DeMarco Murray and Chris Brown (the one that doesn't hit women). These two guys could easily gain 1,000 yards apiece...provided they get enough carries. Look for WR Ryan Broyles to break out now that Juaquin Iglesias and Manny Johnson have graduated, while TE Jermaine Gresham becomes the featured pass-catcher. On defense, DTs Gerald McCoy and DeMarcus Granger are a two-man wrecking crew. Behind them, LBs Ryan Reynolds and Travis Lewis will battle all year long for the team lead in tackles. The secondary was problematic last year, but should be better this season with a more experienced group. The schedule is fun with a trip to Miami in the non-conference, Texas in Dallas, and Oklahoma State visiting Norman. Sooners, there's your season. Do with it what you will. And be careful going to Kansas.


2.) Texas –Arguably the second-best team in America last year, the Longhorns look to finish the deal this season by making their 2nd appearance in the BCS Championship Game. QB Colt McCoy heads the attack, leading the team in both passing (3,859) and rushing (561) last season. If you've seen him play, you know how magical he can be at times making plays, and this year should be no different. His favorite target, WR Jordan Shipley, was granted a sixth year of eligibility by the NCAA and is back for 2009. The running back situation is a bit unsettled, but it was last year as well and that turned out ok. RB Vondrell McGee will start the season with the bulk of the carries, but will have to produce to keep it that way. On defense, DE Sergio Kindle will attempt to make the transition from linebacker and lead the nation in sacks -- his stated goal for 2009. If Kindle is able to replace the production of the departed Brian Orakpo, the 'Horns should pick up right where they left off last season. LBs Roddrick Muckelroy and Jared Norton will make plays all over the field. The secondary is in good hands with CB Chykie Brown and safeties Blake Gideon and Earl Thomas handling opposing receivers. The schedule faces a potential landmine with the trip to Oklahoma State. After narrowly defeating the Cowboys in Austin last year, Texas will have their hands full on the road. As always, the Oklahoma game will also determine their conference standing.


3.) Oklahoma State – I really wanted to put the Cowboys first in the conference. I did. But I just don't see them going to Norman and winning the last game of the season. I do, however, see them defeating Texas in Stillwater. QB Zac Robinson is the do-everything guy for the 'Pokes offense. He runs, he throws, he makes plays out of nothing; he does it all. Helping him out is WR Dez Bryant, who went from question mark to exclamation point in the course of one season. People weren't sure what to expect of him as a full-time go-to target for Robinson last season...until he proceeded to sets records all over the place. RB Kendall Hunter is sometimes the forgotten man in the offense, but if defenses don't pay attention, he'll go for 200 yards and 2 TDs on them. A deep, experienced line is led by OT Russell Okung, who'll be a millionaire once the season is over. Defensively, the Cowboys need some work. However, new coordinator Bill Young, who led Kansas' defensive renaissance in 2007, steps in to make the unit better. Expect him to bring more pressure to the quarterback, mainly with Big 12 name of the year nominee Ugo Chinasa, a speedy defensive end. LB Andre Sexton is the leader of an experienced group that should provide ample support to the attacking defensive line. In the secondary, CB Perrish Cox is an all-conference candidate who will blanket the opposing team's best receivers. Safeties Victor Johnson and Lucien Antoine are new, but have the ability to improve upon last year's duo's performance. Oklahoma State's schedule sets up perfectly. If ever the Cowboys are going to make the leap to greatness, this is the year. Conference road games against Baylor, Iowa State, and Texas A&M mean that the only thing standing between the 'Pokes and a Big 12 championship are taking care of business at home...and a finale at Oklahoma. OSU, the floor is yours.


4.) Texas Tech – Coach Mike Leach has a task on his hands this season. Gone are Graham Harrell and Michael Crabtree, the record-setting duo of last year. In their places step QB Taylor Potts and WR Detron Lewis, respectively. Potts will be the next Red Raider quarterback to throw for a million yards, but it may take the offense a few games to get roaring like we're used to. In addition to Lewis, expect WRs Tramain Swindall and Lyle Leong to put up big numbers as well. RB Baron Batch is a productive back who should get more carries than the traditional Texas Tech running back...which still isn't very many. On defense, the Red Raiders look to continue the (relative) productivity that allowed them to have a historic season in 2008. The unit returns 7 total starters, most of them on the front seven. If DE Rajon Henley terrorizes opposing QBs, the defense could really take off. LBs Bront Bird, Brian Duncan, and Marlon Williams are all returning starters and will make plays consistently, but none are game-changers. The secondary is relatively inexperienced, but CB Jamar Wall should provide steady play and leadership. The schedule does Texas Tech no favors. Back-to-back road games against Texas and Houston (in the most fun game of the year) will be no fun, and a later date at Oklahoma State looms. The Red Raiders will regress a bit, but should still be plenty good enough to garner a bowl berth.


5.) Baylor – Everyone expects the Bears to make a leap to the postseason this year. I'm not so sure. QB Robert Griffin was tremendous as a freshman, and possesses world-class speed. However, he doesn't yet have the playmakers around him to lighten the load, which means he has to be nearly flawless every week for Baylor to win. RB Jay Finley is a returning starter, but in the Bears' high-octane offense, he is more valuable as a pass-catcher. WRs David Gettis, Kendall Wright, and Ernest Smith are very good targets for Griffin, and should put up some terrific numbers in Baylor's wide-open system. On defense, the Bears return 9 starters to a unit that was fairly decent last year. If they can take a step up, Baylor may make the postseason after all. It will be up to DE Zac Scotton to apply the pressure, as the rest of the line is steady, but unspectacular. LB Antonio Jones leads a unit that is sure-tackling, and will provide very good run support for the line. In the secondary, safeties Jordan Lake and Jeremy Williams will have to be great from the start to compensate for two new cornerbacks. Playing well against the pass is key for the defense in the pass-heavy South division. Baylor's schedule starts easily enough, but toughens up late. A late November game against Texas A&M may determine whether or not the Bears go bowling...if they can manage 5 wins before then.


6.) Texas A&M – After hiring Mike Sherman in a questionable move, the Aggies struggled to a 4-8 record in 2008. However, there are signs of hope as the offense returns 9 starters and the defense returns 5 starters. QB Jerrod Johnson is a dual-threat player, capable of big gains all on his own. He'll be throwing to an experienced WR corps led by Jeff Fuller and Terrence McCoy, both of whom have big-game experience despite neither being a senior. RBs Cyrus Gray and Jay Tolliver will work to replace the departed Mike Goodson, but may find it hard living up to that task. If the Aggies are to improve, the defense needs to play better. DEs Matt Moss and Von Miller will try to provide A&M with a pass rush that was missing last season. If they can do their job, it will make it easier on the new, inexperienced linebackers. LBs Kyle Mangan and Garrick Williams are talented, but will need some seasoning before they make an impact. The secondary features 3 returning starters, led by CB Terrence Frederick. Safeties Jordan Pugh and Trent Hunter are effective players who should help make up for any mistakes the new defenders may encounter. The Aggies' schedule is brutal. With good chances for a quick start, the Aggies must overcome games against Arkansas, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma away from home. The home slate isn't any easier, facing Texas and Oklahoma State. It'll be at least another year before the Aggies return to the postseason.

Disappointing Team: Nebraska

Surprise Team: Kansas

Top Players: QB Sam Bradford, Oklahoma; QB Colt McCoy, Texas; WR Dez Bryant, Oklahoma State; QB Zac Robinson, Oklahoma State; WR Dezmon Briscoe, Kansas

Players to Keep An Eye On: DE Sergio Kindle, Texas; QB Blaine Gabbert, Missouri; WR/TE Kerry Meier, Kansas; RB Kendall Hunter, Oklahoma State; QB Zac Lee, Nebraska

Key Games: Texas vs. Oklahoma, October 17th; Texas at Oklahoma State, October 31st; Nebraska at Kansas, November 14th; Oklahoma State at Oklahoma, November 28th; Kansas vs. Missouri, November 28th

Coolest Jerseys: Texas Longhorns

~~ Lank

Friday, August 28, 2009

College Football Preview: Big Ten

Despite losing pretty much every BCS game they go to, the Big Ten is a lot better than you think. There are worse things than losing every year in the Rose Bowl to USC. Ohio State went on a nice run for a couple years earlier in the decade, but have lost their last three BCS games. However, the fact remains that the Big Ten consistently puts competitive teams in the Top 10 and plays well against the other BCS conferences. Recently, Penn State and Ohio State have had a stranglehold on the conference, and this year should be no different. The rest of the standings could go in a lot of different directions, dependent on a few key matchups. As always, most of the Big Ten games should end 17-13 with fewer than 200 yards passing for one of the quarterbacks involved. We tease because we love; as a native Midwesterner, I have nothing but love for the Big Ten.

Predicted Order of Finish:
1.) Ohio State - Call this a leap of faith choice. Even though the Buckeyes are in the Top 10 of every preseason poll, they have some rebuilding to do. QB Terrelle Pryor is a stud and showed the talent last season as a freshman that made him one of the most sought-after recruits in recent memory. He will have to carry the offense early as the Buckeyes look to replace Beanie Wells at RB, both starting WRs, and both kickers. The offensive line should be strong, so Pryor has that going for him, but the biggest boost may come from RB Daniel Herron, a playmaker in waiting. WRs Dane Sanzenbacher, a Big Ten name of the year nominee, and DeVier Posey will need to contribute early and often to make the Ohio State offense hum. Defensively, OSU needs to replace their entire linebacking corps from last year, but return pretty much everyone else. DEs Thaddeus Gibson and Cameron Heyward will be great this year, and the front four as a whole should be a strong point. The linebackers are new, as mentioned, but talented. Keep an eye on Etienne Sabino, a sophomore who may wind up starting by the end of the year. The secondary is very good, led by SS Kurt Coleman. The Buckeyes have a very favorable conference schedule, with road games against Indiana, Purdue, and Michigan. The trip to Happy Valley will be the game that defines the season, despite what Buckeye fans who want revenge on USC would have you think.

2.) Penn State - I wanted to put the Nittany Lions lower than 2nd, but couldn't find anyone to take their place. Sure, stud QB Darryl Clark returns, as does leading RB Evan Royster. However, only 2 starters return to the offensive line and the bulk of the receiving corps is brand new. That's not to say that Penn State will be bad on offense, but they'll certainly need to come together quickly if they are to keep pace with Ohio State. Look for WRs Brett Brackett and Derek Moye to become Clark's go-to targets in time. Clark's mobility will also ease the growing pains of the new offensive line. On defense, the Nittany Lions will be looking for pass rush. The DEs are inexperienced, as is the entire secondary. LBs Navorro Bowman and Sean Lee should be outstanding, but will need help to raise the defense's play to the highest level. CB A.J. Wallace is a senior with some experience, and should become the leader of the defensive backs. Penn State's schedule is quite favorable. The non-conference slate is a joke and the games against Iowa and Ohio State are in State College. The toughest road game is at Michigan State, but that doesn't come until the last week of the season when the Nittany Lions should be fully developed on both sides of the ball.

3.) Michigan State - Here's the deal for the Spartans: find a consistent quarterback, and you might be on to something. With 6 starters returning on offense and 8 on defense, Michigan State has a great chance to surprise in the Big Ten. QB Kirk Cousins appears to be the opening day starter, and will have to grow up quickly. Games 3 and 4 are road games against Notre Dame and Wisconsin, respectively, and Michigan State needs to win both of those to get the season started off properly. Cousins has a good arm and decent mobility, and if he can develop a rapport with WRs Keshawn Martin and Mark Dell early, the offense could be better than last year. Do-everything RB Javon Ringer is now in the NFL, so it's up to Ashton Leggett and Andre Anderson to carry the mail. The offensive line returns mostly intact, so that will help the new players get acclimated. On defense, the Spartans will be very good. DLs Trevor Anderson and Oren Wilson anchor a good line, but the linebackers are the stars here. LB Greg Jones made the All-Big Ten team last year and Eric Gordon is a very talented player as well. The secondary returns 3 starters, and 8 guys total who have starting experience. Look for this unit to be very stingy this season. The schedule sets up well for MSU. Ohio State isn't on it, for one; and the road games in conference are at Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota, and Purdue. If the Spartans can shake their flaky DNA, a Rose Bowl run isn't out of the question. Just beat Penn State in East Lansing to end the season.

4.) Illinois - I like the makeup of this Illini team. Coach Ron Zook has assembled a boatload of talent on offense, and Illinois should have very little trouble scoring points. QB Juice Williams is back as the starter despite a shaky 2008 season. His dual-threat capability is unquestioned, but he needs to become more consistent week in and week out. WRs Arrelious Benn and Jarred Fayson, a Florida transfer, should be one of the top receiving duos in the conference. Expect Williams to rack up big passing numbers with these guys. TE Michael Hoomanawanui is a definite Big Ten name of the year nominee. RBs Jason Ford and Daniel Dufrene will battle all season for carries unless one emerges as the go-to guy. 3 starters return on the offensive line, so expect the Illini to score early and often from day one. Defensively, only 4 starters return, but the talent is in place for a strong unit. DE Doug Pilcher is the leader of the line and should rack up many tackles for loss this season. The linebackers are all fast, but Martez Wilson stands out. The season will be a success if he leads the team in tackles. The secondary is young, but the skills are there. CBs Dere Hicks and Travon Bellamy are returning starters, but Hicks is the only senior in the rotation. The schedule is front-loaded, for sure. Games 3-5 read like this: at Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan State. Those are three tough games that will decide Illinois' standing in the conference, but at least two of them are at home. After that, it's smooth sailing, so we'll know early on what to make of the Illini.

5.) Iowa - Talent-wise, Iowa is probably the third-best team in the Big Ten. But this is a lesson in how much a schedule affects expectations. Sure, RB Shonn Greene did everything for the Iowa offense last year, but his departure doesn't leave the Hawkeyes completely barren. QB Ricky Stanzi, finally the unquestioned starter, has shown the poise and presence necessary to lead the offense. If he can continue to throw well to WRs Trey Stross and Derrell Johnson-Koulianos, the offense will be better than people think. RB Jewel Hampton, a Big Ten name of the year nominee, is very skilled and should be able to adequately replace Greene, though it'll take help from backup Jeff Brinson to truly compensate for the loss of Greene. The offensive line is great and should lift the play of everyone around them. On defense, the line must find two new replacements at defensive tackle. Easing the blow is the presence of DEs Adrian Clayborn and Christian Ballard. LBs Jeremiha Hunter, Pat Angerer, and A.J. Edds are all returning starters and will be very productive this year. Look for a lot of tackles from this trio. The secondary returns 3 starters, and is led by CB Amari Spievey, a candidate for All-Big Ten honors this season. Returning safeties Tyler Sash and Brett Greenwood provide stability at the position. The schedule, as I mentioned before, is a nightmare. Road trips to Ohio State, Penn State, and Michigan State are as tough as they get in the conference, and the rivalry game against Wisconsin is also on the road. Ouch.

6.) Wisconsin - Coach Bret Bielema is feeling some heat because his win totals have gone from 12 to 9 to 7 in his three years on the job. Inconsistent quarterback play has killed the Badgers, and they desperately need QB Dustin Sherer to reverse that trend. If he can play well and provide Wisconsin with some semblance of a passing game, the Badgers will surprise. RBs John Clay and Zach Brown provide a terrific one-two punch and, running behind a talented, if young, offensive line, they should combine for close to 2,000 yards...if not more. WRs David Gilreath and Kyle Jefferson are quality targets who should make some plays for Sherer this season. On defense, Wisconsin returns 5 starters, but must replace a lot of their front seven. DE O'Brien Schofield will be the leader of the line, but DT J.J. Watt should be the most talented player. LBs Blake Sorensen and Jaevery McFadden are tackling machines that should make plays all year long. The secondary is in good hands with CB Niles Brinkley and S Jay Valai manning the position. Wisconsin's schedule is manageable. The road game at Ohio State is no fun, but Minnesota, Indiana, and Northwestern aren't too imposing as road trips. Plus, there's always the fun trip to Hawaii at the end of the year to boost morale.

7.) Northwestern - I like Pat Fitzgerald. Since taking over in the wake of the Randy Walker tragedy, he's been great for the university and football program. Last year's 9-4 record is indicative of what he's building in Evanston. However, I don't think this year's Wildcats have the horses to get up the hill. 4 starters return on offense...but they're all offensive linemen. QB Mike Kafka has starting experience, but lacks the consistent passing threat keep the offense moving. His running ability provides a nice change of pace, though. RB Stephen Simmons is also new, but will probably share carries with Jeravin Matthews. WRs Jeremy Ebert, Andrew Brewer, and Sidney Stewart are inexperienced but provide an intriguing group of targets for Kafka. This group should be solid by the end of the season. On defense, Fitzgerald's specialty, 8 starters return. After finishing 2008 26th in scoring defense, expect this group to excel. DE Corey Wootton is the star on the outside; look for him to rack up plenty of sacks. LBs Nate Williams and Quentin Davie are adequate, but neither will likely lead the team in tackles. The secondary returns all four starters and should be the strength of this defense. FS Brad Phillips is a tackling machine from the safety position, providing run support as well as passing defense. The good news about Northwestern's schedule is that Ohio State isn't on it. The bad news is that road games against Iowa and Michigan State, as well as a home date with Penn State, provide bad matchups for the Wildcats. Another bowl should be in order, however; and that's never a bad thing in Evanston.

8.) Michigan - Rich Rodriguez has a knack for improving teams in year two. In his second year at Michigan, he'll need one of his freshman quarterbacks to emerge and lead the offense. QBs Tate Forcier and Denard Robinson, both freshmen, will split snaps until one guy proves he's the man for the job. Forcier is the better passer; Robinson the better runner. RB Brandon Minor is a talented back who should get the bulk of the carries. But Carlos Brown has also shown some ability and may get a few totes of his own. WRs Greg Matthews and Martavious Odoms are experienced, but are not gamebreakers. The offensive line returns 4 starters, which is a huge boost to the development of the freshmen QBs. On defense, Michigan returns 5 starters, but the unit wasn't very good last year. DE Brandon Graham is a good one, but is the only returning starter on the line. LBs Stevie Brown, Obi Ezeh, and Jonas Mouton are a solid group, with Ezeh leading the team in tackles last year. The secondary is basically new, but CB Donovan Warren is someone around whom the group can build. Ohio State visits Ann Arbor this season, but the home games against Western Michigan, Eastern Michigan, and Delaware State are more important to win in terms of making a bowl. Six wins will do the trick, but six wins will be hard to come by for a group that figures to be much better in 2010.

9.) Minnesota - The Golden Gophers were kind of a sham last year. There, I said it. After starting 7-1 and getting the Twin Cities jacked up, they lost five games in a row when they had to play teams with a pulse. Beating Indiana is fun and all, but try beating Wisconsin and then we'll chat. QB Adam Weber returns, as does his favorite target, WR Eric Decker. That alone is good news for the passing game. The Weber-to-Decker show, when on, is something to behold. RBs DeLeon Eskridge, a Big Ten name of the year nominee, and Duane Bennett should alternate carries and give the Gophers some semblance of a running game -- something that was missing last season. If the line comes together early, Minnesota could score points by the bushel. Defensively, the Gophers have a new coordinator, but 7 starters returning from a surprisingly effective group last year. DTs Eric Small and Garrett Brown should stuff the run, but a pass rush must be established. LB Lee Campbell led the team in tackles last year and should do so again this year. The secondary caused a lot of turnovers last season and should do so again this year with 3 starters back. CB Traye Simmons is an interception machine. Road games at Ohio State, Penn State, Northwestern, and Iowa are tough; but the home games against Illinois and Michigan State are going to be the reason that Minnesota misses a bowl game in 2009 before rebounding next year.

10.) Purdue - Talk about a transition year. After an awkward year as coach-in-waiting, Danny Hope takes over for the departed Joe Tiller. Tiller liked to sling that pigskin, and Hope will throw a lot as well, but will attempt to incorporate more of a running game. RB Jaycen Taylor should get the bulk of the carries, and has been productive in the past. QB is a question mark with the graduation of Curtis Painter, but senior Joey Elliott will begin the year as the starter. He's had limited reps in his career and will not be a game-changer, to say the least. The wide receivers are also brand new, so the passing game may take a few games to click. The defense must carry the mail until the offense comes around, and the Boilermakers have the talent to do that. DLs Ryan Kerrigan and Mike Neal comprise a nice duo up front and should produce at a high level. The linebackers are mostly new, but should be solid. The secondary returns 3 starters and will be very tough to throw against. CBs David Pender and Brandon King will make things hard for opposing receivers. Purdue doesn't play Penn State, but faces both Ohio State and Michigan State in West Lafayette. Holding serve at home will be tough, and the road contests against Minnesota and Michigan must be wins if the Boilers have any chance to go bowling.

11.) Indiana - I love the Hoosiers, but even I know that this is going to be a long year in Bloomington. There isn't much talent on offense, which will put a lot of pressure on a shaky defense. Not good. QB Ben Chappell threw for 1,000 yards last year in limited duty, so at least he has some experience to rely on. WRs Terrance Turner and Tandon Doss should put up good numbers this year as long as they can get on the same page as Chappell. RB Darius Willis was a big-time recruit for Indiana, and will probably start as a freshman. His talent trumps any experience that returning players may have. On defense, DEs Greg Middleton and Jammie Kirlew are a very good duo and should rack up the tackles for loss this year. LBs Will Patterson and Matt Mayberry provide plenty of tackles and, if the interior line doesn't improve, will be called on to do so again. The secondary is surprisingly deep. FS Nick Polk is a stud and CBs Chris Adkins and Ray Fisher are more than adequate. Indiana's schedule features road games against Iowa, Northwestern, Michigan, and Penn State. I'm trying to find a way to get the Hoosiers to make an unexpected trip to a bowl game, but it's just not happening. Maybe next year.

Disappointing Team: Iowa

Surprise Team:
Illinois

Top Players:
QB Terrelle Pryor, Ohio State; QB Darryl Clark, Penn State; WR Arrelious Benn, Illinois; WR Eric Decker, Minnesota; LB Sean Lee, Penn State

Players to Keep An Eye On:
QB Juice Williams, Illinois; RB Jewel Hampton, Iowa; QB Kirk Cousins, Michigan State; RB Daniel Herron, Ohio State; QB Tate Forcier/Denard Robinson, Michigan

Key Games:
Penn State at Illinois, October 3rd; Iowa at Michigan State, October 24th; Ohio State at Penn State, November 7th; Iowa at Ohio State, November 14th; Penn State at Michigan State, November 21st;

Coolest Jerseys:
Iowa Hawkeyes

~~ Lank

Something That Irritates Me: Driving in Rain


I got home from work not too long ago, and the drive took longer than expected. Traffic problems? Nope. Troublesome red lights? Not that either. Did I get hungry? Well, yeah, but I didn't succumb and get food. No, there is a much more simple explanation to why it took me an extra 10 minutes to get home on a Friday evening.

It rained.

I promise, that's the only reason. No accidents, no policemen on patrol, no crazy traffic lights, and no shoppin stops. It just so happens that when precipitation falls from the sky, people deem it necessary to go 10 mph under the speed limit while going straight and 20 mph below the speed limit when taking a curve or turning. I don't mean to sound like an aggressive driver here, but frankly, it's maddening. I understand wanting to be safe and not wanting to put yourself in harm's way; especially on slick roads. But, trust me, going 25 mph in a 40 mph zone isn't necessary. As a matter of fact, you can actually go the speed limit the whole way home and you won't run into any problems. Try it sometime. No, seriously, please do.

What really disappoints me is that a lot of the time, male drivers fall victim to this syndrome as well. Females aren't very good drivers to begin with, so blaming them for being unable to drive effectively in less-than-perfect conditions would be unfair. Good driving (which is separate from 'safe driving', mind you; anyone can go 30 mph everywhere and arrive safely, but a good driver will get you there with a delicate balance of safety and expedience) requires decisiveness and quick-thinking -- two things that aren't innate in women -- so they have an excuse. However, men, it's time we stepped up our rain driving game. I'm tired of finally getting around a car going too slow just because it's wet and then seeing a dude in the cockpit. How embarrassing. Nothing says "man" like braving the elements and still completing a task, so I challenge all the fellas out there to step up and make your trip in average time in the rain.

Once again, I'm not calling for insanity on the roads. If you normally go 55 mph on a U.S. highway, and you want to tone it down to 50 mph during the rainstorm, fine. 45 mph? Not fine. Your tires are designed to be able to drive through water, I swear. They're not going to lose grip just because a little water is on the pavement. If it starts hurricaning, then yes, you're allowed to go slow. There's a difference between standing water and you-can-still-see-dry-blacktop, though. Keep that in mind. Sorry to sound like a taskmaster here, but I'm tired of being delayed no matter where I'm going just because people are scared to behave normally behind the wheel when they see water on their windshield. It's water, not sulfuric acid; you'll be fine. Really.

Unless, of course, the driver beside you hasn't read my post; in that case, all bets are off.

~~ Lank

EPL Wrap-up: Week 2


Monday Night Football?

No its not what you think; John Madden isn't in the booth and Hank Williams Jr. isn't serenading us with an American classic. This week we had a prime time (GMT) matchup between Aston Villa (winners of the biggest disappointment award last week) and Liverpool. This was an exciting match up with Aston Villa looking to come back off a very disappointing week one, and Liverpool needeing to establish themselves as a consistent force in the league this year.

One of those things did happen.

Aston Villa got lucky picking up an own goal off a free kick. Then again right before they half they pick up a cheeky header off a corner that Liverpool didn't think was a corner. Liverpool looked to be on the comeback path with Fernando Torres netting a cross, making it a 2-1 game. Aston Villa was quick to respond and extend their lead on and Ashley Young penalty kick after a foolish challenge from Steve Gerrard.

In other matchups this week, Arsenal continued their EPL dominance over 2 games by making easy work of Portsmouth, cruising to a 4-1 win. Goals by Abou Diaby, Aaron Ramsey and William Gallas paced the Gunners past. It is worth noting that Gallas, a defender, has scored in ALL of Arsenal's games this year. An impressive feat. Also Arsenal has only played 2 EPL games so far this season and put home a whopping 10 goals. 10 goals in the 2 games?! Are you kidding me? Amazing.

Following up that domination we come to the Wigan v. Manchester United game. For Man U, coming off a fresh loss to Burnley, this game meant a lot. Was Man U really in trouble? or are they their normal Red Devil selves? Well, it only took 56 minutes to find out. Wayne Rooney slotted home the first goal of the match. It WAS pretty even until this point. Then Man U turned into the Man U we all know. After going scoreless in the first 55 minutes, it only took Man U 35 minutes to score 5 goals. With English legend Michael Owen even getting in on the action. The result of this game 5-0 Manchester United.

Around the league Manchester City barely got pased a tough Wolverhampton team 1-0. Chelsea scored twice against Fulham, with Anelka and Drogba putting in the goals, leading the Blues to a 2-0 victory. Tottenham continued their hot streak beating the West Ham Hammers 2-1 and remained at the top of the EPL table. Burnley continued off new momentum gained from beating Man U to hand Everton their second loss of the season in a 1-0 victory.

Top of the Table:

1) Tottenham
2) Chelsea
3) Arsenal
4) Manchester United
5) Manchester City

Awards:

Best Team: Arsenal - 4-1 leveling of Portsmouth gets the honors. Impressive work being turned in by the Gunners right now.

Worst Team: Everton - Taking the honor for the second week in a row. Everton couldn't muster enough to get past Burnley, losing 1-0.

Biggest Surprise: Aston Villa - Beating Liverpool 3-1 at Anfield is a tough task to ask from any team. Aston Villa was the Biggest Disappointment last week, but they have redeemed themselves and are looking to build on this win and enter the title race.

Biggest Disappointment: Liverpool - Losing 3-1 at home to Aston Villa is inexcusable.

Player of the Week: Kenwyne Jones - In a game I didn't recap, Jones put 2 goals home in a 2-1 victory for the Blackcats of Sunderland over Blackburn. Check out the goal and more importantly the celebration of his first goal at the 3:08 mark.

Check in every Friday for a new EPL wrap-up.

--Dirk - International Soccer Correspondent

Thursday, August 27, 2009

College Football Preview: Atlantic Coast Conference

This should be an interesting year in the ACC. Defending national champion North Carolina lost four guys to the NBA Draft, Duke lost guards Greg Paulus and Elliott Williams, and Florida State lost Player of the Year runner-up Toney Douglas to the New York Knicks. In order for these teams to compete...wait, what? Football? In the ACC? My bad. Ok, let's try this again. Despite being a basketball conference (don't let anyone try to tell you different), the Atlantic Coast Conference was, top to bottom, the most competitive conference in America last year, producing an astounding TEN bowl-eligible teams. Even in these days of 841 bowl games, no conference had ever done that before. Think of the ACC as the anti-Big East; lots of depth, but no frontline stars. Sure, people will sell you a bill of goods on Virginia Tech, but the Hokies haven't been nationally relevant since everyone's favorite PETA representative was under center. Unless you consider multiple conference championships but no national championship threats as nationally relevant; but I don't. The conference should see some upgrades this year, but may have to wait until 2010 to see a truly strong team emerge on the national scene.

Predicted Order of Finish:
Atlantic Division:
1.) Florida State - Call me biased, go ahead. "Lank picked the Seminoles just because that's his favorite team." Whatever. The 'Noles will have the best offensive line in the conference first the first time in a long time, solid quarterback play for the first time in a long time, and a solid defense for the first time in...well, Mickey Andrews' units are always top-notch, so scratch that last one. QB Christian Ponder, a redshirt junior, has finally shown signs of consistency in spring and summer workouts. His TD-to-INT ration of 14-13 tells you all you need to know about his erratic play. However, FSU will need him to be solid because his receiving corps is a mess. Greg Carr and Preston Parker, last year's best WRs, are gone for different reasons (Carr to the NFL, Parker to expulsion), but are gone nonetheless. Taiwan Easterling, a projected starter, tore his Achilles in the spring, but may return in time for the season. Richard Goodman faces criminal charges stemming from a fight in the student union last fall, and Rod Owens has faced a series of nagging injuries during his time in Tallahassee. The last men standing appear to be Bert Reed, a diminutive speedster, and Jarmon Fortson, a big, strong receiver who played well last year as a freshman. True freshmen Willie Downs and Willie Haulstead may be called on to contribute immediately. The running game should pick up some of the slack, however. RBs Jermaine Thomas and Ty Jones will fill the void left by the graduation of Antone Smith, with one of them (Thomas) possibly getting to 1,000 yards along the way. The offensive line returns completely intact, and should be among the best in the nation, with G Rodney Hudson leading the way. Defensively, the Seminoles need a DE to step up to replace Everette Brown (now with the Carolina Panthers), but Kevin McNeil and Markus White appear to be up to the challenge. Kendrick Stewart and Budd Thacker will be tough against the run in the middle. The linebacking corps should be very good this year before becoming fantastic in 2010. Dekoda Watson is the best player on the defense, but sophomore Nigel Bradham may be the most talented. Those two, along with steady junior Kendall Smith, form a unit that will be tough for opposing offenses to deal with. The secondary is the weak link in this defense, but if Korey Mangum and Jamie Robinson are able to produce at safety, it could improve quickly. CB Patrick Robinson is a star and should challenge for All-ACC honors. Going on the road to BYU and Florida is going to suck, but the conference schedule isn't too bad. Miami and NC State come to Tallahassee, and road trips to Clemson and North Carolina will test the 'Noles. How they fare in those two games could dictate the bowl destination for Florida State.

2.) Clemson - I'm going to waste my time and give you a detailed preview of Clemson, but here's really what you need to know: they're going to win a couple of games they shouldn't, and lose a couple of games they shouldn't, thus putting them at roughly 8-4 or 7-5. QB is the big question mark. Willy Korn was supposed to be the savior, but he's already been dethroned after one (half) season of mediocrity. In steps Kyle Parker, a freshman who has a cannon of an arm and loads of potential. His group of receivers is very green, but WR Jacoby Ford should have a career year as the featured wideout. Xavier Dye has talent, but may take a few games to get acclimated to regular reps. At the running back position, things start and end with C.J. Spiller. Spiller has shown flashes of brilliance in his career at Clemson, but has been inconsistent. With James Davis finally gone, Spiller will get all the carries he can handle and then some. Backups Jamie Harper and Andre Ellington should get carries as well. The good news is that the Tigers return 4 starters to the offensive line, which should make everyone's life easier. On defense, there is a lot of talent. DEs Ricky Sapp and Da'Quan Bowers are as talented as they come, but need to produce more. On the whole, the linebackers are average, but starters Kavell Conner and Brandon Maye should have good years. The secondary is a good group, led by CBs Chris Chancellor and Crezdon Butler. They'll lock down the corners while safeties DeAndre McDaniel and Sadat Chambers round into form. Clemson has quite the slate ahead of them. Game two is a road game at Georgia Tech, game four is a home matchup against TCU, and road games at Miami, NC State, and South Carolina await the Tigers. At least Florida State comes to Clemson.

3.) NC State - For the Wolfpack, 'tis quite simple: keep QB Russell Wilson healthy. When Wilson plays, they are very good. When he doesn't, they are very bad. Once he returned to the lineup last season after an injury caused him to miss a few games, NC State responded with a 4-game winning streak that made them bowl eligible. WRs Owen Spencer and Jarvis Williams provide Wilson with solid targets, but aren't considered gamebreakers. The running backs are a deep group, led by Jamelle Eugene, a shifty back with loads of quickness. Toney Baker, the top backup, should get plenty of carries as well. The offensive line returns 3 starters and should pave the way for a good season from the Wolfpack offense. On defense, NC State brings back 7 starters to a unit that was mediocre last season. However, with a year of seasoning, the defense could surprise. The loss of star LB Nate Irving hurts a lot, but Ray Michel will keep the group playing at a high level. The secondary is thin, but CB DeAndre Morgan should keep the wraps on opposing receivers. The defensive line is an experienced bunch (four senior starters), and DE Willie Young could very well lead the ACC in sacks. Road games against Florida State and Virginia Tech are troublesome, but the Wolfpack catch a break by getting Clemson and North Carolina at home. This is a team that could surprise in coach Tom O'Brien's 3rd year at the helm.

4.) Wake Forest - The Demon Deacons will find out this season whether or not they've truly established themselves as a quality program. Don't get me wrong, coach Jim Grobe has done one of the best turnaround jobs I've ever seen (he took Wake Forest to the Orange Bowl, people!), but must replace a lot of talent this year. Do the Deacs have the players to step up and contend? Sort of. The offense must run the ball effectively if Wake is going to compete. RBs Josh Adams and Kevin Harris provide a superb one-two punch, and with an offensive line that returns 4 starters to run behind, both backs should put up big numbers. QB Riley Skinner is back for his 10th season in Winston-Salem, but will need to break in new targets. WRs Marshall Williams and Devon Brown are talented, but need to prove that they can be consistent in game situations. On defense, the Demon Deacons must rebuild (reload?). Last year's unit was tremendous, but only 4 starters return. The front four will excel behind the play of DTs Boo Robinson and John Russell. The linebackers are all fresh faces and could see a deep rotation of players get action until a dependable few emerge. The secondary is led by CB Brandon Ghee, a shutdown corner, and S Alex Frye. ACC name of the year nominee Cyhl Quarles will have the first crack at the starting strong safety position. The conference schedule could be worse. Road games against Georgia Tech and Clemson are tough, but Duke and Boston College should both be victories. Hold serve at home, and the Demon Deacons will be bowling once again in 2009.

5.) Boston College - What a weird offseason for the Eagles. Former coach Jeff Jagodzinski (yep, spelled it on my own) was fired for flirting with the Jets, so defensive coordinator Frank Spaziani gets the big seat now. Former offensive coordinator Steve Logan wanted the big seat, so he left when he didn't get it, and now the Eagles are starting from scratch at both coordinator spots. QB Dominique Davis was erratic in his limited time last season, but maybe a fresh start is exactly what he needs to get in synch with the new staff. WR Rich Gunnell is a stud and someone that Davis should lean on early and often. RBs Montel Harris and Josh Haden are a talented duo of sophomores and should find plenty of room to run behind a big, experienced offensive line. On defense, the Eagles will attempt to replace do-everything LB Mark Herzlich, last year's ACC Defensive Player of the Year. Herzlich was diagnosed with a rare form of cancer in the offseason and is out for the year. The defensive line, led by DEs Austin Giles and Jim Ramella, will put pressure on the quarterback, but will struggle against the run. The linebacking corps, in addition to losing Herzlich, lost starter Mike McLaughlin to an injury in the spring, but they hope he can return to action by the fall. If not, an inexperienced group loses a valuable leader and a very productive player. The secondary posted 26 interceptions last year, and returns several key components, including S Wes Davis. This is the strongest unit on the defense. The conference slate is tough, featuring road dates at Clemson and Virginia Tech. The Eagles will take a step back in Spaziani's first year, but a bowl game should still be in play.

6.) Maryland - The Terrapins are quite young this year. 61 scholarship players have at least three years of eligibility remaining. That's a lot. QB Chris Turner returns, and should provide a steady performer for the offense to count on. However, RB Da'Rel Scott is the real deal and should improve on the 1,133 yards he gained on the ground last year. A repeat apperance on the All-ACC team seems probable. The offensive line only returns 2 starters, but is fortunate to have experienced skill position players to take the heat off of them. WRs Torrey Smith and Ronnie Tyler will attempt to replace the production of first-round draft pick Darrius Heyward-Bey. On defense, the Terps only return three starters, but luckily one of them is LB Alex Wujciak, who led the ACC with 133 tackles last season. The defensive line is relatively thin, but I'm hoping that ACC name of the year nominee Masengo Kabongo really comes into his own for obvious reasons. The strength of the defense is the secondary, which returns S Terrell Skinner and CB Anthony Wiseman. The unit is deep, talented, and experienced so expect them to lead the way for the rest of the defense. Maryland's schedule begins with an interesting trip to Cal, which will be a loss. After that, the only road games are at Wake Forest, Duke, NC State, and Florida State. The Terps will need to spring an upset or two to become bowl eligible, but as we all know, weird things tend to happen in Byrd Stadium.

Coastal Division:
1.) Georgia Tech - Ok, Paul Johnson, what're you doing for an encore? The Yellow Jacket head coach won 9 games in his first season and brought with him a unique triple-option offense that brought back memories of the wishbone. RB Jonathan Dwyer thrived in the new system, leading the conference in rushing and winning ACC Player of the Year last season. He's back to improve on his 1,395 yards, and don't be surprised if he does. QB Josh Nesbitt has the athleticism to keep defense honest in the option offense, but needs to improve his passing. If he becomes a more complete passer, the Jackets offense is going to be even more scary. A-back Roddy Jones will also contribue plenty to the rushing attack. The offensive line still resembles a square peg in a round hole after being recruited for a different scheme, but with 3 starters returning, the unit should be much improved. If GT had last year's defensive line this year, they'd be unstoppable on defense. Unfortunately, they lost not one, not two, but three All-ACC performers along the defensive front. The new guys are skilled, especially DE Derrick Morgan, but the line may be a work-in-progress for a while. The linebackers are a solid, experienced group and should be able to compensate for any mishaps from the front four. The secondary, led by leading returning tackler FS Morgan Burnett, should be superb. CBs Mario Butler and Jerrard Tarrant will provide excellent coverage to help the pass rushers get to the quarterback. Georgia Tech must travel south to face both Florida State and Miami on the road, but get North Carolina and Virginia Tech at home. Those divisional games could prove the difference between an ACC Title game appearance and a trip to the Champs Sports Bowl.

2.) Virginia Tech - Prior to losing RB Darren Evans for the season with a knee injury, the Hokies were thinking big. Like national title big. Now, with freshman Ryan Williams subbing in Evans' spot, their dreams are a bit scaled back. The conference title is still there for the taking, but Williams must be good right off the bat, and QB Tyrod Taylor needs to show everyone why he was such a highly-touted recruit a few years ago. The offense returns a ton of starters, but they were so anemic a year ago that it doesn't really mean anything. Taylor needs to find a way to pass the ball downfield, plain and simple. Yeah, it's kinda cool when he takes off and runs, but 2 passing TDs in a season isn't going to get it done. Even option quarterbacks threw more than that last season. The wide receivers were young a year ago, and are somewhat less young now. Jarrett Boykin and Danny Coale are only sophomores, but at least have some game experience this time around. The offensive line returns 3 starters, led by standout LG Sergio Render. On defense, the Hokies are what they are. Very good. Bud Foster's units have been in the top 10 nationally for years, and this year should be more of the same. DEs Jason Worilds and John Graves should be very good, as will ACC name of the year nominee Cordarrow Thompson at defensive tackle. The linebackers are inexperienced, but Cam Martin is back for this third year as a starter, which will help the younger guys in their maturation. The secondary is led by safeties Dorian Porch and ACC name of the year nominee Kam Chancellor. If this unit plays up to its potential, it could be dominant despite the loss of Macho Harris. Hokies, your season essentially comes down to one game: October 17th at Georgia Tech. Win that and you're in the driver's seat with North Carolina, Miami, and NC State coming to Blacksburg. Playing Alabama and Nebraska in the non-conference is impressive, too.

3.) North Carolina - Did you know that Butch Davis has only won 10 games in a season once in his coaching career? Just making sure. The Tar Heels will be good this season, but optimism should be reserved until 2010. UNC is a young bunch that, despite the presence of some talented players, will need a year to break through in the ACC. If QB T.J. Yates stays healthy, he should have a very good year. Yes, WRs Hakeem Nicks and Brandon Tate are off to the NFL, but Greg Little, Dwight Jones, and Joshua Adams give Yates a talented, if inexperienced, group to throw to. Yates' accuracy has been inconsistent in the past, but if he's able to put his receivers in good spots, they'll make plays. The running game, led by RBs Shaun Draughn (pronounced 'drone' not 'drawn') and Ryan Houston, will be very productive. Interestingly, Draughn is also the Heels' leading returning receiver with 16 receptions last year. The offensive line returns four starters and should pave the way for Draughn to challenge for 1,000 yards...if Houston doesn't vulture too many carries, that is. Defensively, North Carolina is going to be good. How good depends on the front four. When right, DTs Marvin Austin and Cam Thomas can be trouble. However, the defensive line only accounted for 11 sacks last year, worst in the ACC. The linebacking trio of Bruce Carter, Quan Sturdivant, and Zach Brown may be as good as it gets in the conference, north of Tallahassee. There is speed to burn in this unit, and Sturdivant especially excels from sideline to sideline, amassing 122 tackles last year. The secondary should be a strength for the Tar Heels. CBs Kendric Burney and Charles Brown may challenge for All-ACC honors, while safety Deunta Williams is easy to find...he's always around the ball. Schedule-wise, UNC has a tough trio of road games that will define their season. Going to Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech, and NC State will make the difference between an 8-4 campaign and a 10-2 campaign.

4.) Miami - Two words, 'Canes fans: not yet. In 2010, Miami should be ready to rock, as coach Randy Shannon continues to bring in the necessary talent to build a champion. However, both coordinators are new and there are too many young players with responsibility to expect an ACC title. QB Jacory Harris showed flashes of his playmaking ability last year as a freshman, throwing for 12 TDs. However, he was inconsistent and couldn't lead the offense on prolonged drives. His development will be crucial to the success of the Hurricanes' season. His receivers are almost all back from last year, but are not quite seasoned enough yet to make significant contributions. The running game, led by RBs Graig Cooper and Javarris James, should be a strength. Now upperclassmen, look for these two to buoy the offense until Harris comes around as a passer. On defense, Miami returns 6 starters and could be sneaky good. Despite being 28th in the country in total defense last year, you never got the sense that Miami was dominant on that side of the ball. The front seven lacks experience and depth, but DT Marcus Forston and LB Sean Spence, last year's ACC Defensive Rookie of the Year, will keep the group from being too mediocre. The secondary only picked off two passes last year, a concern for new defensive coordinator John Lovett. There is raw talent at his disposal, but until these guys get a few more reps in game situations, they will be unable to put their stamp on the defense. The Hurricanes face a treacherous schedule this year. In addition to ACC road games against Florida State, Virginia Tech, and North Carolina, Miami also plays at South Florida and UCF in the non-conference, and welcomes Oklahoma to South Beach. Uhh, good luck with that.

5.) Virginia - Grouchy Al Groh is back as head coach, but his seat is a bit warmer after a 5-win season in 2008. He made a smart move and hired former Bowling Green coach Gregg Brandon to resurrect an offense that was downright awful to watch last season. Brandon developed the spread attack he uses with Urban Meyer at BGSU and should open things up for the Cavaliers. QB Vic Hall, a converted cornerback, was a bad fit for Groh's old pro-style attack, but could be productive in Brandon's new scheme. Mark Verica and Jameel Sewell are also challenging for the job, but none has taken the reins as Groh would've hoped. This could be a revolving door all year. The offensive line returns 4 starters, which is good news, but the skill positions need some work. RB Mikell Simpson returns after an injury-plagued 2008, but must prove that he is fully healthy. The wide receivers have some talent, but are an inexperienced group that will be hindered by the uncertainty at quarterback. On defense, UVA will rely on a defensive line that should be good, led by NT Nick Jenkins and DE Matt Conrath. The linebackers are all new, but Denzel Burrell and Aaron Clark have experience. The secondary is led by ACC name of the year nominee Ras-I Dowling and Chris Cook at cornerback. This is a deep group that should keep the defense competitive.

6.) Duke - Despite what may happen this year in Durham, coach David Cutcliffe has the program headed in the right direction. The mere fact that we're using the terms "bowl game" and "possible" in the same sentence are proof of that. The deck is stacked against the Blue Devils, but Cutcliffe is confident that senior QB Thad Lewis can lead his team to the postseason. When right, Lewis is one of the better quarterbacks in the conference. However, he must work on his consistency. WRs Johnny Williams and Donovan Varner will attempt to replace last year's leading receiver Eron Riley, but it won't be easy. RB Re'quan Boyette is back after missing all of 2008 with an injury. His production is desperately needed on a team that finished 103rd in the country in rushing offense last year. Defensively, Duke wasn't terrible last year and should be better this year. DT Vince Oghobaase is a stud and will provide steady play for the Blue Devils up front. Finding a pass rusher to complement him is the key, and ACC name of the year nominee Ayanga Okpokowuruk may be up to the task. LB Vincent Rey led the team with 109 tackles last season and should be productive again this year. The secondary lacks size, but has a decent amount of speed. SS Catron Gainey is the only returning starter, but many of this year's starters have seen time in the past as backups. Duke's schedule features two D1-AA teams, so that should be two wins of the seven required to go bowling. Games against Army, Maryland, Virginia, and Wake Forest will go a long way towards determining the Blue Devils' holiday plans.

Disappointing Team: Miami

Surprise Team: NC State

Top Players: RB Da'Rel Scott, Maryland; RB Jonathan Dwyer, Georgia Tech; G Rodney Hudson, Florida State; LB Quan Sturdivant, North Carolina; QB Russell Wilson, NC State

Players to Keep An Eye On: RB Jermaine Thomas, Florida State; QB T.J. Yates, North Carolina; RB C.J. Spiller, Clemson; RB Ryan Williams, Virginia Tech; QB Jacory Harris, Miami

Key Games: Miami at Florida State, September 7th; Georgia Tech at Florida State, October 10th; Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech, October 17th; Florida State at North Carolina, October 22nd; North Carolina at Virgina Tech, October 29th

Coolest Jerseys: Florida State Seminoles

~~ Lank

Now I Know How The Cubs Feel


My dad, Willie P, is the biggest St. Louis Cardinals fan in the world. No, really, he is. For his birthday, I bought him this ginormous book about the history of baseball in St. Louis. It wouldn't surprise me if he finished it within the week. Regardless, he's been on me lately about not posting anything about his beloved Redbirds, since they've been murdering anything in sight. So here I was, at the beginning of the week, ready to wax poetic about their run since they acquired Matt Holliday, ready to talk about the absurd numbers of pitchers Chris Carpenter, Adam Wainwright, and Joel Pineiro, and ready to praise the Cardinals for showing some grit despite injuries and dry spells in their lineup.

Then somebody beat me to it.

The good news is that 'somebody' is, in fact, St. Louis Post-Dispatch columnist Bernie Miklasz, and his job is to follow St. Louis sports for a living. So at least if I get beat, it's by a professional from St. Louis who knows what he's doing. The bad news is, at the end of the day, I still got beat. It seems that professionals from St. Louis are beating everyone these days (heck, even the Rams are looking good this preseason).

So, instead of reading my take on things in The Lou, just click on the link I provided and get the word straight from the horse's mouth. Bernie does a very good job covering the sports scene in the Gateway City, and his article is a lot better than mine would have been anyway. For the record, I'm currently coming up with something new to write about the Cardinals to appease my father. Granted, no matter what I write, he'll want me to write something else the next week. But at least, it'll give me a day or two of a sense of accomplishment.

You know, the same thing that everyone in St. Louis seems to be feeling right now.

~~ Lank

Is American Tennis on the Come Up?


I consider myself an average tennis fan. I watch the Grand Slam tournaments very, very closely; latch on to other important tournaments throughout the year (Indian Wells, Montreal, Cincinnati, etc.), and maybe check the results of the smaller tournaments that occur in the intermediate time. However, I strongly support American athletics of all kind, and tennis is no different. My favorite players are always American; I always convince myself that American tennis is on the rise; and I hope and pray that some Yanks defend home turf each September at the U.S. Open (which is what sparked the idea for this post in the first place).

But is American tennis in good shape?

The simple answer is no. We have one elite men's player (Andy Roddick) and the Williams sisters on the women's side. That's it. Yes, Bob and Mike Bryan are, arguably, the best men's doubles team in the world, but let's be real, nobody follows doubles tennis. However, if you look more deeply at things, the American tennis scene isn't as barren nor depressing as you might think. The results at the top level haven't been there since the days of Sampras/Agassi/Courier, but several young players are showing promise.

With that in mind, I strongly urge you to read ESPN.com's Greg Garber's analysis on the state of American tennis. He delves MUCH more deeply into the issues facing tennis in this country than I could ever dream of. It's well-written and well-thought-out, and gives a lot of pros and cons about the sport in the States. Here are Part I, Part II, and Part III. Read them all at once or read them in separate sittings, I don't care. But you will be doing yourself a favor by reading them.

At worst, when American tennis makes its resurgence (here I go again), you'll be able to tell your friends, "I told you so."

~~ Lank

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

College Football Preview: Big East

The Big East gets a bad rap. Well, sort of. Long dogged for getting an automatic BCS bid despite not having the caliber of play of other BCS leagues, the Big East constantly puts out competitive teams at the top of its standings, but doesn't feature the depth of the other conferences. 2007 West Virginia smoked Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl. 2006 Louisville was probably the second-best team behind Florida that year. 2005 West Virginia beat Georgia in the Sugar Bowl. Obviously, there are no national titles in the Big East trophy case, but they have had some very strong teams over the years. The conference just needs to build some depth and people will stop crying foul every time their champion goes to a BCS game...even when they win. So who's going to be that team this year? Let's find out.

Predicted Order of Finish:
1.) Cincinnati - This prediction can be attributed solely to my faith in the coaching brilliance of Brian Kelly. After winning two national titles at Division II Grand Valley State, Kelly went to Central Michigan and promptly turned around the Chippewas. After leaving there, Kelly came to Cincinnati and won the Big East championship in only his second year at the school. News flash: the guy can coach. His offense has always been one to put up points and this year should be no different. QB Tony Pike, who started the 2008 season way down the depth chart, but became the starter due to attrition. After throwing for 2400 yards and 19 TDs, it's safe to say he's the starter again this year. With WR Mardy Gilyard and juco standout Jamar Howard to throw to, Pike should put up even better numbers (provided he stays healthy, of course). No Bearcat has rushed for 100 yards in a game since 2007, but that should change this year. John Goebel and Jacob Ramsey are experienced ball-carriers who should put up solid numbers in Kelly's system. Isaiah Pead and Darrin Williams will provide game-changing speed as backups. On defense...well, there's some work to do. Only one starter returns from a unit that was 25th in the nation in scoring defense last year, FS Aaron Webster. DT Derek Wolfe should provide good play against the run, and LBs J.K. Shaffer and Marcus Waugh will be solid, if not spectacular. However, Cincy will have to win several shootouts if it is going to repeat as Big East champs. The schedule is an odd one. The very first game of the year is a conference contest at Rutgers, so the Bearcats need to come out swinging. However, they only play two more conference road games (at South Florida and Syracuse) before closing the season with a huge road game at Pittsburgh. Win that one, and Cincinnati may be going back to the Orange Bowl.

2.) Pittsburgh - During Dave Wannstedt's tenure, the Panthers have been solid. Not great, not bad, but certainly solid. This is the year they want to be great. Despite the loss of star RB LeSean McCoy, now with the Philadelphia Eagles, Pitt should have its best team in years. It all starts with an offensive line that returns 4 starters and should give QB Bill Stull plenty of time to throw. The senior doesn't put up flashy numbers, but has a knack for moving his team down the field when he needs to. Boosting the passing game will be WR Jonathan Baldwin, who averaged 22.4 yards per catch last season as a freshman. The running game won't be the same without McCoy, but freshman Dion Lewis looked good in the spring and could turn some heads this fall. On defense, Pitt lost leader Scott McKillop at linebacker, but return 7 starters. The defensive line should be great, led by DEs Greg Romeus and Jabaal Sheard. The linebacking unit will need some grooming, but Greg Williams should be good from the start. The secondary is battle-tested and SS Dom DeCicco led the Panthers in tackles last year. Expect this unit to be very productive for Wannstedt. We won't know much about Pitt's Big East title hopes until the last two weeks of the season. Traveling to West Virginia for the Backyard Brawl and hosting Cincinnati will tell us all we need to know about the Panthers. Win those two games, and Miami is your destination. Lose them both, and...well, I hear the Sun Bowl would like you back.

3.) West Virginia - Bill Stewart, the floor is yours. Despite upsetting Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl two seasons ago and winning 9 games in his debut season, many fans are still unsure of their head coach. Stewart must prove that he was doing more than riding the coattails of playmaker Pat White. Replacing White is impossible (you don't replace the best player in school history, no matter what), but QB Jarrett Brown has shown some ability in the past few years as White's understudy. Now in his senior year, expect Brown to do big things for the Mountaineers. The best player on the offense is RB Noel Devine, who is so fast he can turn off the lights and be in bed before it gets dark. Devine average over 6 yards per carry last year on his way to a 1,289-yard season. Expect those numbers to balloon in 2009. WRs Alric Arnett and Big East name of the year nominee Jock Sanders will give Brown two very talented targets, as both are playmakers. On defense, the Mountaineers should be very good. DTs Chris Neild and Scooter Berry are the best inside duo in the Big East. LBs Reed Williams, J.T. Thomas, and Big East name of the year nominee Ovid Goulbourne will make plays all over the field. Keep an eye on Williams, especially. The secondary in WVU's 3-3-5 alignment will be stout, led by CB Brandon Hogan and 'Bandit' Robert Sands. The only thing keeping West Virginia from booking reservations to the Orange Bowl is the schedule. Road games at South Florida, Cincinnati, and Rutgers will prove tough; but the Mountaineers pass those tests, the reward could be a Big East championship.

4.) South Florida - This is a weird season for the Bulls. They've been on the cusp of greatness for so long that people are now doubting that they'll ever get there. This season's team looks to be as talented as ever on paper, but the world is waiting for results. QB Matt Grothe, back for what feels like his 7th season, will lead the offense both verbally and statistically. The Bulls' leading passer and rusher last season, expect more of the same from Grothe this year. He'll throw to a talented group of wide receivers led by Carlton Mitchell and Jessie Hester. If not for a retooling offensive line, the Bulls offense could be downright lethal, but expect Grothe and RB Mike Ford to find less room to operate with such an inexperienced front. Defensively, the Bulls go as DE George Selvie goes. Despite being double and triple-teamed all season, he still managed to have a productive 2008. However, when he's unable to get pressure on the opposing QB, the Bulls struggle to stop teams. Joining him on the line are talented DTs Terrell McClain and Aaron Harris. The linebackers are led by Kion Wilson, but look for Big East name of the year nominee Sabbath Joseph to have a breakout junior campaign. The secondary needs to replace a few guys, but CB Jerome Murphy and FS Nate Allen will make sure the unit doesn't slip too far. The scheduling gods have smiled upon the Bulls. Both Cincinnati and West Virginia must travel to Tampa, and the only tough road game appears to be at Pittsburgh. If the Bulls are to make the leap from good to great, this is the year to do so.

5.) Rutgers - After starting the season 1-5, the Scarlet Knights closed the season with a 7-game win streak, including a bowl win. If this momentum is to continue into 2009 (which is a silly statement, but the people on TV use it, so please just let me mock them this one time; thanks), Rutgers will need to find a quarterback to replace the departed Mike Teel. Quickly. Teel was the spark behind the streak and finding someone to fill that void will be tough. Senior Domenic Natale gets the first chance, but don't be surprised if stud freshman Tom Savage is at the helm by the end of the year. He's that good. The receivers are led by WR Tim Brown (no, not that Tim Brown) and will give the new quarterback some good targets. The offensive line is very, very good, so RBs Kordell Young and Jourdan Brooks should find some holes early and often, helping the offense move the chains until the passing game gets its footing. On defense, Rutgers returns 6 starters from a group that finished 19th in the nation in scoring defense last year. LB Ryan D'Imperio is a stud and the leader of the defense, but DE George Johnson could be an all-conference performer by year's end. The secondary is led by CB Devin McCourty, and should be adequate despite some inexperience. Rutgers couldn't have asked for a better schedule. South Florida, Pittsburgh, West Virginia, and Cincinnati all come to Piscataway this year. Scarlet Knights, the onus is all on you.

6.) Connecticut - The Huskies are trying something new on offense this year. After being entirely to reliant on the running game (and new Colt Donald Brown), they are switching to a no-huddle attack to speed things up. QB Zach Frazer is a new starter, but if he's able to pick up the scheme quickly, the offense should be much, much better. The line returns 3 starters and WRs Brad Kanuch and Kashif Moore give the Huskies dependable receivers on the outside. Don't get it twisted, UConn will still run the ball, most likely with RB Jordan Todman, they're just attempting to have more balance in an effort to score more points. If the Huskies score points, they could surprise in the Big East thanks to their standout defense. The linebackers are superb, the line has talent, and the secondary should come together once they get a few game reps together. LBs Scott Lutrus, Greg Lloyd, and Lawrence Wilson form the top unit in the conference. There may be holes around them on defense, but look for this trio to make play after play after play from day one. The schedule is tough. Road games against Pittsburgh and Cincinnati don't do the Huskies any favors, but they must hold serve at home against Rutgers and South Florida if they are to make a bowl game.

7.) Louisville - Remember the good ol' days under Bobby Petrino when the Cards were nationally-ranked and life was easy? Despite being only 3 years removed from that era, it feels like eons ago. There is no explosiveness on offense and the defense hasn't shown any tenacity in the Steve Kragthorpe era. QB Justin Burke, a transfer from NC State, will try to revive the Cardinals' passing game, and he has the weapons to do it in WRs Josh Chichester and Doug Beaumont. RB Victor Anderson is an absolute workhorse and should eclipse the 1,047 yards he amassed last season. Being 68th in the country in scoring offense simply isn't good enough and Louisville knows that. Expect better numbers from the offense this season. On defense, there are a litany of problems. The defensive line has nobody that can't rush the passer or stop the run. The secondary can't cover anyone, despite the best efforts of CB Johnny Patrick, or create turnovers. The good news is that LBs Jon Dempsey and Antwon Canady are keepers and should be making plays all season long for the Cardinals. Any improvement would be welcomed from the defense, but it's hard to think it will happen this year. The schedule features road games against Cincinnati, West Virginia, and South Florida, so Kragthorpe may find his seat to be even hotter when Louisville misses the postseason yet again.

8.) Syracuse - In case you haven't heard, times are a-changin' in upstate New York. The Orange have hired former Saints offensive coordinator Doug Marrone, an alumnus of the school, as head coach and have named former Duke PG Greg Paulus as starting quarterback. Offensively, they can't be much worse than last year. Under new coordinator Rob Spence, formerly of Clemson, the Orange will open things up with a wide-open, no-huddle attack. Paulus will need to make smart decisions to make the offense work...like constantly throwing to WR Mike Williams. After being academically ineligible last season, Williams returns to give Syracuse a big time playmaker on offense; something they've desperately needed for a while. RBs Delone Carter and Antwon Bailey form a solid duo and could put up some good numbers in Spence's offense. The return of most of the offensive line bodes even better for the unit's potential. On defense, Syracuse returns 7 starters from a unit that was downright dreadful in 2008. New coordinator Scott Shafer prefers an attacking, blitzing style, and will try to compensate for a lack of talent by putting pressure on the quarterback as much as possible. DT Arthur Jones was an All-Big East player last year, so look for him to lead the defense in a year of transition. Several of this year's starters, including LB Doug Hogue, were playing different positions last season. If the Orange want to surprise people, they'll get their shot. West Virginia and Cincinnati come to the Carrier Dome; and a mini-Big Ten schedule of Minnesota, Penn State, and Northwestern begin the season.

Disappointing Team: South Florida

Surprise Team: Connecticut

Top Players: RB Victor Anderson, Louisville; QB Tony Pike, Cincinnati; QB Matt Grothe, South Florida; DE George Selvie, South Florida; RB Noel Devine, West Virginia

Players to Keep An Eye On: QB Jarrett Brown, West Virginia; WR Mike Williams, Syracuse; WR Jonathan Baldwin, Pittsburgh; QB Greg Paulus, Syracuse; QB Zach Frazer, Connecticut

Key Games: Cincinnati at South Florida, October 15th; Pittsburgh at Rutgers, October 16th; West Virginia at Cincinnati, November 13th; Pittsburgh at West Virginia, November 27th; Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, December 5th;

Coolest Jerseys: Louisville Cardinals

~~ Lank